So, you're waiting to buy till prices drop, huh? Let me guess. Your brother's girlfriend's uncle's podiatrist's wife's half-brother who owns a home of his own told you that it's more prudent to wait till the end of the year because homes are going to be priced so low that you'll probably be able to snap them up at the 99 Cents store or Big Lots come Christmas time.
Hmmm. I would think that a prudent reason for not buying now, is if you don't qualify at the moment (either you're waiting for your bankruptcy discharge to reach its 2-year anniversary, still saving up for a down payment or had the misfortune of being laid off, etc.).
If you do qualify however, here's something to chew on: U.S. house prices unexpectedly advanced in January, according to a report from the Federal Housing and Finance Administration on Tuesday. The report showed a 1.7% month-over-month increase in U.S. house prices following a downwardly revised 0.2% decline in December.
The largest increase came in the South Atlantic region, reversing a sharp decline the month prior, where home prices were up 3.6%. In the East North Central region, prices were up 3.9%.
Only one region saw a decline in house prices - the Pacific, where prices were down 0.9%. House prices in the West South Central region were flat. On an annual basis, house prices are down 6.3% from January 2008.
But wait! Even in the Pacific (specifically California), where it did show a 0.9% decline, as far as our own neck o' the woods is concerned, in December, home sales jumped 55% in Santa Clarita and 78% in the San Fernando Valley.
When you're thinking, "Should I buy now or wait ?", you need to be aware that it's not just all about the home prices either. Unless you've got a bank account as fat as Brangelina's, if you're a first-time homebuyer, chances are, you need a little help in the down-payment-and-closing-costs department to close the deal.
I had clients who could have qualified to become homeowners back in 2008, and reap the tax benefits of homeownershi, but chose to wait. Well, here's just a few changes that happened while they were waiting:
- Those who didn't have enough down payment money could have availed of Down Payment Assistance Programs like Nehemiah, Ameridream and Cal-HFA before these went bye-bye in late 2008.
- The minimum down payment last year for an FHA loan was 3%. Today, it's 3.5%.
- Mortgage Insurance Premium last year cost 1.5% of the total loan amount upfront, and .5% every month. Today, it's 1.75% and .55%.
- Borrowers with scores below 580 still had a fighting chance to get an FHA loan last year. This year, most lenders are exercising their option of extending credit only to those with a credit score of 600 and above.
- Last year, someone whose debt-to-income ratios were over the 43% maximum for FHA loans could get an exception (even if their debt-to-income ratios were in the high 50's with compensating factors). This year, you'd be hard-pressed to find lenders giving exceptions to anyone who exceeds 50%.
Inspite of tightening lending guidelines, people are still buying homes because they know that the market's going to turn (It always has, and it always will.) What you buy for $250,000 now has a pretty good chance of earning a fair amount of equity over the next several years (when you buy at the lowest point in the market, and lock yourself into rates in the 4's and 5's, it's a no-brainer). John D. Rockefeller famously said, "The way to make money is to buy when blood is running in the streets." Unless you've been under a rock the last 18 months, the streets are stained crimson with short sales, foreclosures and sellers who are willing to bend over backwards on price negotiations.
My two-cents' worth is this: If you're thinking of selling in two years with the intent of making moolah, you either need to build yourself a time-travel pod and go back 2003 and stay there, or you need to put the crackpipe down. Odds are, you're going to end up with a loss. However, if you can afford to make the purchase now and you plan to be in the house for at least five years, buy now.
